RAINBOWS, UNICORNS, & POLLS

CLAP YOUR HANDS AND BELIEVE!

In the 2016 election, polls consistently told those of a left leaning persuasion exactly what they wanted to hear.

“Trump doesn’t even have a chance. EVERYONE hates him.”

Those polls were reinforced by Dem politicians, Republican politicians, the news media, Hollywood celebs, late night TV hosts and the all-knowing political talking heads.

TRUST US. HE WON’T BE NOMINATED!

The polls said that during the primaries. They assured America (and apparently themselves) he had less than a 1% chance of nomination. Jeb WILL win. “Trust us… we KNOW stuff. We are pollsters!”

OK, BUT HE’LL NEVER BE PRESIDENT!

When he got the nomination, in defiance of all “acceptable” predictions and the leadership of both parties (including the one in which he was nominated)… all the polls and supporting players commenced to assure us (AND themselves) he couldn’t beat Hillary. Within hours of his election win there were still professional prognosticators on record giving Hillary a 98% chance of victory.

The polls leading into the election were so one-sided that Hillary actually had a house built on her Chapequa property to house HER WHITE HOUSE STAFFERS.

Before the election.

TOLDJA TIME

I noted several times during the lead up to the vote that pollsters methodology appeared to be EXTREMELY loose. If not intentionally trying to skew results, they were obviously ignoring any semblance of realistic sampling. It was starting to look like their polls may have been taken entirely in the halls of their New York offices, and they were using miniscule sample sizes to project the vote of all 50 states.

They assumed they knew the outcome, and they at very best got lazy. That is the most generous assessment I’m prepared to make.

POST MORTEM

Sure, Hillary DID squeak out a popular vote win, thanks to California, but that in no way exonerates pollsters. Even before the election, everyone knew EXACTLY how the states were weighted electorally. Everyone knew how elections are scored. They were projecting an ELECTORAL win, not a pyrrhic victory… and it simply didn’t happen.

Whether it was done intentionally by pollsters hoping to sway the result with a bandwagon effect, or it was a signal that sampling methods seriously need to be updated… here’s a thought; QUIT LISTENING TO POLLS.

It’s become glaringly obvious that polls are being skewed to CREATE an outcome, not project one. That’s a huge difference.

You may be excused for falling for it once, but after that it is entirely on you. Making the same mistake over and over can’t be blamed on ignorance, only stupidity.

IN RELATED NEWS

Polls say Trump is almost universally unpopular. Even his dog hates him. You can take it to the bank.

These polls are, after all, done by professionals. They KNOW things.

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